AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel
1st Division, Denmark · 2026-11-06 · 19:00 CET
LWWWW
DDLLDThe score model makes an AB Copenhagen win the most likely outcome at 61%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). The data's biggest gap to the market: AB Copenhagen win — 61.0% vs 44.1% implied (+16.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: AB Copenhagen 2.03 – 0.99 Vendsyssel.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AB Copenhagen win | 61.0% | 44.1% | +16.9% |
| Draw | 22.0% | 26.0% | -4.0% |
| Vendsyssel win | 17.1% | 29.9% | -12.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 55.2% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.3% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: AB Copenhagen 10.8 / Vendsyssel 19.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.