Kolding IF vs Hvidovre IF
1st Division, Denmark · 2026-08-01 · 16:00 CET
DLDWL
WWDWWThe score model made a Hvidovre IF win the most likely outcome at 37%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 35%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kolding IF 1.02 – 1.07 Hvidovre IF.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF win | 34.0% | 39.2% | -5.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.4% | 28.1% | +1.4% | ✗ |
| Hvidovre IF win | 36.6% | 32.8% | +3.8% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.0% | 50.5% | -15.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.1% | 29.9% | -13.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 41.9% | 55.9% | -14.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 60.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 22.2% | 34.2% | -12.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Kolding IF 32 / Hvidovre IF 30.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.