Ostrava B vs Usti nad Labem
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-20 · 14:30 CET
WLLWD
LWLDLThe score model made an Ostrava B win the most likely outcome at 44%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Ostrava B 1.68 – 1.40 Usti nad Labem.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrava B win | 44.2% | 43.0% | +1.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.4% | 25.7% | -2.2% | ✗ |
| Usti nad Labem win | 32.3% | 31.3% | +1.0% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | 60.8% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.0% | 40.4% | -3.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% | 63.2% | -2.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 42.0% | 41.8% | +0.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Ostrava B 34.9 / Usti nad Labem 25.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Ostrava B vs Usti nad Labem in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.