Jihlava vs Slavia Prague B
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-18 · 18:00 CET
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DLLLLThe score model made a Jihlava win the most likely outcome at 44%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). It finished 3:2 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jihlava 1.51 – 1.21 Slavia Prague B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihlava win | 44.3% | 50.2% | -5.9% | ✓ |
| Draw | 25.1% | 24.3% | +0.8% | ✗ |
| Slavia Prague B win | 30.6% | 25.5% | +5.2% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% | 62.9% | -11.6% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.2% | 42.4% | -13.2% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% | 63.6% | -8.9% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.1% | 42.9% | -2.7% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jihlava 41.4 / Slavia Prague B 36.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Jihlava vs Slavia Prague B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.