Ostrava B vs Taborsko
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-09 · 14:30 CET
LWLWD
WWWLDThe score model made an Ostrava B win the most likely outcome at 39%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 44%). It finished 1:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Ostrava B 1.27 – 1.18 Taborsko.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrava B win | 39.0% | 35.0% | +4.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.5% | 29.1% | -2.6% | ✗ |
| Taborsko win | 34.5% | 35.9% | -1.4% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.2% | 49.1% | -4.8% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.1% | 29.0% | -5.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 49.4% | 55.2% | -5.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.6% | 33.3% | -1.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Ostrava B 31.6 / Taborsko 38.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.