Zlin vs Slovacko
Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 15:00 CET
DLLDD
DWLLLThe score model makes a Zlin win the most likely outcome at 39%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Zlin win — 39.0% vs 36.7% implied (+2.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Zlin 1.40 – 1.27 Slovacko.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin win | 39.0% | 36.7% | +2.3% |
| Draw | 28.1% | 28.6% | -0.5% |
| Slovacko win | 32.9% | 34.7% | -1.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 49.2% | +0.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% | 29.2% | -1.2% |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% | 54.9% | +0.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.3% | 33.9% | -0.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Zlin 36.7 / Slovacko 44.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Zlin vs Slovacko in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.