Hradec Kralove B vs Zapy
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-20 · 10:15 CET
WLLLW
WDLWLThe score model made a Zapy win the most likely outcome at 48%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). It finished 1:2 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hradec Kralove B 1.26 – 1.75 Zapy.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Kralove B win | 27.1% | 27.6% | -0.4% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.4% | 26.0% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Zapy win | 48.4% | 46.5% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.0% | 55.6% | +2.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% | 34.8% | +0.7% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% | 58.4% | +1.4% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.0% | 38.0% | +7.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Hradec Kralove B 42.7 / Zapy 42.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Hradec Kralove B vs Zapy in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.