Banik Most-Sous vs Velke Hamry
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-19 · 15:00 CET
LLLDW
WLWLDThe score model made a Banik Most-Sous win the most likely outcome at 72%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 55%). It finished 3:0 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Banik Most-Sous 2.20 – 0.69 Velke Hamry.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banik Most-Sous win | 71.6% | 74.8% | -3.2% | ✓ |
| Draw | 18.5% | 15.7% | +2.9% | ✗ |
| Velke Hamry win | 9.9% | 9.5% | +0.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% | 62.9% | -7.7% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% | 43.1% | -10.2% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 44.8% | 47.9% | -3.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.5% | 44.1% | -8.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Banik Most-Sous 42 / Velke Hamry 26.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Banik Most-Sous vs Velke Hamry in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.