Bohemians 1905 B vs Plzen B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-20 · 10:15 CET
DDDWL
LWDWWThe score model made a Plzen B win the most likely outcome at 53%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 78%). It finished 3:0 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bohemians 1905 B 1.73 – 2.43 Plzen B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 B win | 26.9% | 27.6% | -0.7% | ✓ |
| Draw | 20.0% | 23.9% | -3.9% | ✗ |
| Plzen B win | 53.1% | 48.5% | +4.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.4% | 64.7% | +13.8% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59.7% | 44.2% | +15.5% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 75.4% | 65.3% | +10.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 85.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 60.5% | 44.2% | +16.3% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bohemians 1905 B 42 / Plzen B 42 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bohemians 1905 B vs Plzen B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.