Slavia Prague U20 vs Pribram B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-08 · 10:15 CET
WDLLD
LLWLWThe score model made a Slavia Prague U20 win the most likely outcome at 53%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 63%). It finished 2:0 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Slavia Prague U20 1.97 – 1.28 Pribram B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague U20 win | 53.4% | 52.6% | +0.8% | ✓ |
| Draw | 22.1% | 23.6% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Pribram B win | 24.6% | 23.9% | +0.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% | 62.5% | +0.4% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.7% | 42.3% | -1.6% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% | 62.3% | -0.2% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 49.6% | 43.1% | +6.5% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Slavia Prague U20 21.9 / Pribram B 21.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.