Zhejiang Professional vs Wuhan Three Towns
Super League, China · 2026-08-08 · 11:35
The score model makes a Zhejiang Professional win the most likely outcome at 59%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 68%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Zhejiang Professional 2.23 – 1.26 Wuhan Three Towns.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Professional win | 59.1% | 55.8% | +3.3% |
| Draw | 20.4% | 22.7% | -2.3% |
| Wuhan Three Towns win | 20.5% | 21.5% | -1.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.7% | 65.0% | +2.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.1% | 44.6% | +1.5% |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% | 62.9% | +1.2% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 42.9% | 44.8% | -1.9% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Zhejiang Professional 44.4 / Wuhan Three Towns 43.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.