Club Brugge W vs Leuven W
Super League Women, Belgium · 2026-11-07 · 13:30 CET
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WDDLWThe score model makes a Leuven W win the most likely outcome at 51%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Leuven W win — 51.3% vs 39.1% implied (+12.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Club Brugge W 1.19 – 1.84 Leuven W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge W win | 23.2% | 35.1% | -12.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | 25.8% | -0.2% |
| Leuven W win | 51.3% | 39.1% | +12.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.3% | 56.9% | +1.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.9% | 36.3% | -0.5% |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% | 60.3% | -0.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.7% | 40.3% | -1.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Club Brugge W 30.7 / Leuven W 30.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Club Brugge W vs Leuven W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.