Genk W vs RSC Anderlecht W
Super League Women, Belgium · 2026-11-06 · 20:00 CET
LWWWD
WWLWWThe score model makes an RSC Anderlecht W win the most likely outcome at 62%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 65.4% vs 57.8% implied (+7.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Genk W 0.93 – 2.04 RSC Anderlecht W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk W win | 15.2% | 8.5% | +6.7% |
| Draw | 23.1% | 15.9% | +7.2% |
| RSC Anderlecht W win | 61.7% | 75.6% | -14.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.0% | 63.0% | -6.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.6% | 42.2% | -7.6% |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | 48.4% | +5.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.8% | 43.8% | -4.0% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Genk W 30.8 / RSC Anderlecht W 31 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Genk W vs RSC Anderlecht W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.