Leuven W vs Club Brugge W
Super League Women, Belgium · 2026-09-26 · 20:00 CET
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LDWWWThe score model makes a Leuven W win the most likely outcome at 66%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 62%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Leuven W 2.24 – 0.96 Club Brugge W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leuven W win | 65.5% | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | — | — |
| Club Brugge W win | 14.2% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 56.0% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 46.3% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Leuven W 30 / Club Brugge W 29.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.