Leuven W vs Club Brugge W
Super League Women, Belgium · 2026-09-26 · 20:00 CET
WDDLW
WDWDWThe score model made a Leuven W win the most likely outcome at 66%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 62%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Leuven W 2.25 – 0.96 Club Brugge W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leuven W win | 65.7% | 43.9% | +21.8% | ✗ |
| Draw | 20.2% | 26.3% | -6.1% | ✓ |
| Club Brugge W win | 14.1% | 29.8% | -15.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.3% | 53.8% | +8.5% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.1% | 32.3% | +7.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | 56.8% | -0.7% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 46.7% | 36.6% | +10.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Leuven W 29.7 / Club Brugge W 29.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Leuven W vs Club Brugge W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.