SK Rapid vs Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga, Austria · 2026-11-06 · 19:30 CET
WWWWW
LLLLLThe score model makes an SK Rapid win the most likely outcome at 70%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 62%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 60.0% vs 49.9% implied (+10.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SK Rapid 2.37 – 0.84 Wolfsberger AC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Rapid win | 70.5% | 78.0% | -7.5% |
| Draw | 18.8% | 14.3% | +4.5% |
| Wolfsberger AC win | 10.7% | 7.7% | +3.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 70.1% | -7.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.0% | 50.1% | -10.2% |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% | 51.5% | +0.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.3% | 48.9% | -7.7% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: SK Rapid 36.4 / Wolfsberger AC 36.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open SK Rapid vs Wolfsberger AC in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.