BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-11-07 · 17:30 CET
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WLLLDThe score model makes a BW Linz win the most likely outcome at 75%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). The data's biggest gap to the market: BW Linz win — 74.8% vs 60.8% implied (+14.0 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: BW Linz 2.37 – 0.69 Floridsdorfer AC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| BW Linz win | 74.8% | 60.8% | +14.0% |
| Draw | 16.0% | 21.9% | -6.0% |
| Floridsdorfer AC win | 9.2% | 17.3% | -8.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% | 55.8% | +3.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.7% | 35.6% | +1.1% |
| Both teams to score | 45.3% | 52.6% | -7.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.3% | 37.0% | +0.3% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: BW Linz 11.4 / Floridsdorfer AC 39.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.