ASK Voitsberg vs A. Salzburg
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-09-19 · 15:30 CET
DWLLW
DLWWLThe score model made an A. Salzburg win the most likely outcome at 40%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 47%). It finished 2:1 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: ASK Voitsberg 1.21 – 1.34 A. Salzburg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASK Voitsberg win | 33.5% | 46.9% | -13.4% | ✓ |
| Draw | 26.6% | 25.0% | +1.6% | ✗ |
| A. Salzburg win | 39.9% | 28.1% | +11.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% | 61.0% | -14.1% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% | 40.4% | -15.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 51.8% | 62.7% | -10.9% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.2% | 41.2% | -9.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: ASK Voitsberg 14.9 / A. Salzburg 22.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open ASK Voitsberg vs A. Salzburg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.