SK Rapid II vs ASK Voitsberg
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-08-08 · 15:30 CET
WLWLL
DWDLLThe score model made an SK Rapid II win the most likely outcome at 41%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). It finished 1:3 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SK Rapid II 1.34 – 1.17 ASK Voitsberg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Rapid II win | 40.6% | 32.4% | +8.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.2% | 25.3% | +1.9% | ✗ |
| ASK Voitsberg win | 32.2% | 42.3% | -10.1% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.9% | 60.7% | -14.8% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% | 40.3% | -15.9% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 51.1% | 63.1% | -12.1% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.7% | 41.8% | -7.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: SK Rapid II 32.3 / ASK Voitsberg 11 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.