Tweede Divisie 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 69 | 56.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.2 | +7.4 | 1:6 vs Hardenberg (+2.2) | 4:3 vs Jong Volendam (-2.1) |
2 | AFC | 34 | 69 | 60.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.5 | +4.4 | 1:0 vs Katwijk (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Spakenburg (-2.0) |
3 | De Treffers | 34 | 60 | 53.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.6 | +5.9 | 0:2 vs Quick Boys (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam (-1.9) |
4 | HFC | 34 | 55 | 50.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.5 | +0.6 | 1:4 vs AFC (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Jong Volendam (-1.7) |
5 | Quick Boys | 34 | 56 | 51.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +3.3 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Kozakken Boys (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Scheveningen (-2.0) |
6 | Katwijk | 34 | 71 | 66.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 1 | +5.8 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Hardenberg (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Lisse (-2.3) |
7 | Scheveningen | 34 | 45 | 41.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 13 | -4.3 | +7.8 | 2:3 vs Quick Boys (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Excelsior Maassluis (-1.5) |
8 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 39 | 37.5 | +1.5On expectation | 16 | +2.1 | -0.6 | 3:2 vs Katwijk (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Oostzaan (-1.7) |
9 | TEC | 34 | 39 | 37.6 | +1.4On expectation | 15 | -4.3 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Quick Boys (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Quick Boys (-1.5) |
10 | Lisse | 34 | 42 | 41.8 | +0.3On expectation | 12 | +1.3 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Katwijk (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Jong Volendam (-1.9) |
11 | Hardenberg | 34 | 60 | 60.9 | -0.9On expectation | 2 | -0.0 | -0.9 | 1:4 vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Oostzaan (-2.5) |
12 | Noordwijk | 34 | 43 | 46.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 10 | -4.1 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs HFC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs TEC (-2.0) |
13 | Spakenburg | 34 | 43 | 46.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 9 | -3.4 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs AFC (+2.2) | 0:3 vs TEC (-1.9) |
14 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 43 | 47.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 8 | +1.6 | -5.9 | 1:3 vs Hardenberg (+2.3) | 1:3 vs IJsselmeervogels (-1.9) |
15 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 40 | 46.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -0.1 | -6.0 | 3:1 vs Katwijk (+2.1) | 1:4 vs IJsselmeervogels (-1.8) |
16 | Oostzaan | 34 | 20 | 27.4 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.3 | -5.1 | 0:2 vs Hardenberg (+2.6) | 1:5 vs Hardenberg (-1.1) |
17 | Jong Volendam | 34 | 26 | 33.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 17 | -4.3 | -3.2 | 0:3 vs Hardenberg (+2.5) | 1:2 vs TEC (-1.5) |
18 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 33 | 40.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.5 | -4.4 | 1:0 vs Hardenberg (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong Volendam (-1.8) |
