Tweede Divisie

We simulate the remaining Tweede Divisie schedule 10,000 times a day. Quick Boys win the 2026-2027 title in 80% of them, projecting ~73 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Raalte finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Quick Boys	12	73	64–82	80%	98%	—
2	De Treffers	8	60	51–69	7%	63%	<1%
3	Hardenberg	10	56	47–65	3%	40%	<1%
4	Spakenburg	6	56	47–65	2%	39%	<1%
5	Hoek	4	56	47–65	2%	39%	<1%
· · ·
16	GVVV	0	35	27–44	—	<1%	52%
17	Kloetinge	4	34	26–43	—	<1%	61%
18	Raalte	0	14	8–21	—	—	>99%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 270 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/netherlands/tweede-divisie/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Tweede Divisie live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/netherlands/tweede-divisie">Tweede Divisie stats by Football Charts</a></p>

What blindly backing each market in every Tweede Divisie match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.