Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctThe season in numbers
HT Over 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +9.9% at market prices across 82 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Raalte produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 22.4' on average.
Add Tweede Divisie fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctWe simulate the remaining Tweede Divisie schedule 10,000 times a day. Quick Boys win the 2026-2027 title in 88% of them, projecting ~75 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Raalte finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 24 | 75 | 67–83 | 88% | >99% | — |
| 2 | De Treffers | 18 | 63 | 55–71 | 9% | 85% | — |
| 3 | Spakenburg | 13 | 55 | 46–63 | <1% | 37% | <1% |
| 4 | Kozakken Boys | 20 | 54 | 46–62 | <1% | 35% | <1% |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 15 | 53 | 45–61 | <1% | 30% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 16 | HFC | 6 | 37 | 29–45 | — | <1% | 50% |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 7 | 27 | 19–34 | — | — | 97% |
| 18 | Raalte | 1 | 12 | 6–18 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 225 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Tweede Divisie match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 24 | 18.3 | +5.7 | |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 20 | 13.6 | +6.4 | |
| 3 | De Treffers | 18 | 17.1 | +0.9 | |
| 4 | GVVV | 18 | 13.2 | +4.8 | |
| 5 | IJsselmeervogels | 16 | 15.7 | +0.3 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Kloetinge | 7 | 10.7 | -3.7 | |
| 17 | HFC | 6 | 9.2 | -3.2 | |
| 18 | Raalte | 1 | 6.2 | -5.2 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+

Quick Boys
De Treffers
Spakenburg
Kozakken Boys
Hardenberg
HFC
GVVV
IJsselmeervogels






