TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hegelmann | 36 | 67 | 59.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | -0.2 | +8.0 | 1:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-2.1) |
2 | Banga | 36 | 43 | 35.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | -1.5 | +9.0 | 0:1 vs FK Panevezys (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.5) |
3 | Dainava Alytus | 36 | 45 | 37.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | -3.1 | +10.3 | 0:1 vs Hegelmann (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Suduva (-1.4) |
4 | Dziugas Telsiai | 36 | 42 | 36.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 9 | +3.6 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.6) |
5 | Zalgiris | 36 | 79 | 75.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.3 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+1.4) | 2:4 vs FK Panevezys (-2.0) |
6 | Suduva | 36 | 39 | 40.8 | -1.8On expectation | 7 | -1.1 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Siauliai FA (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.6) |
7 | Kauno Zalgiris | 36 | 54 | 58.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 3 | -1.7 | -2.7 | 1:0 vs Zalgiris (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Banga (-2.1) |
8 | Transinvest | 36 | 38 | 43.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.1 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Siauliai FA (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.8) |
9 | Siauliai FA | 36 | 42 | 50.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.4 | -8.4 | 1:3 vs FK Panevezys (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Transinvest (-1.9) |
10 | FK Panevezys | 36 | 41 | 53.7 | -12.7Underperforming −− | 4 | -8.1 | -4.6 | 2:4 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Banga (-2.2) |
