TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dainava Alytus | 36 | 38 | 32.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 9 | -0.1 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Suduva (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Banga (-1.0) |
2 | Hegelmann | 36 | 53 | 49.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 6 | +1.2 | +2.8 | 2:1 vs Zalgiris (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.7) |
3 | Kauno Zalgiris | 36 | 63 | 60.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 4 | -0.5 | +2.9 | 1:0 vs Suduva (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.0) |
4 | Zalgiris | 36 | 79 | 78.3 | +0.7On expectation | 1 | -0.3 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Suduva (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Hegelmann (-2.3) |
5 | Banga | 36 | 36 | 35.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | +1.4 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs FK Panevezys (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Riteriai (-1.3) |
6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 36 | 36 | 37.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | +5.9 | -7.3 | 2:1 vs Suduva (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Nevezis Kedainiai (-1.8) |
7 | FK Panevezys | 36 | 60 | 61.7 | -1.7On expectation | 3 | -0.4 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Suduva (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Banga (-2.1) |
8 | Suduva | 36 | 70 | 71.9 | -1.9On expectation | 2 | +0.4 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Zalgiris (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.4) |
9 | Riteriai | 36 | 46 | 51.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.9 | -3.4 | 0:2 vs FK Panevezys (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.9) |
10 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 36 | 10 | 21.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.7 | -6.3 | 2:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.4) |
