TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Zalgiris | 36 | 84 | 76.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | -1.3 | +9.1 | 3:5 vs Dziugas Telsiai (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Kauno Zalgiris (-2.3) |
2 | Siauliai FA | 36 | 50 | 44.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.6 | -0.6 | 3:0 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.7) |
3 | Riteriai | 36 | 59 | 54.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +3.5 | +1.4 | 2:0 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Siauliai FA (-1.6) |
4 | Kauno Zalgiris | 36 | 63 | 59.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 5 | -0.7 | +4.5 | 1:2 vs Zalgiris (+2.5) | 3:1 vs Banga (-2.2) |
5 | FK Panevezys | 36 | 62 | 61.9 | +0.1On expectation | 3 | +4.8 | -4.8 | 0:1 vs Zalgiris (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Siauliai FA (-2.0) |
6 | Banga | 36 | 30 | 31.6 | -1.6On expectation | 9 | -1.7 | +0.1 | 3:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.4) | 1:1 vs Jonava (-1.4) |
7 | Hegelmann | 36 | 61 | 64.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 2 | +2.3 | -6.2 | 2:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Banga (-2.1) |
8 | Suduva | 36 | 55 | 60.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 4 | +2.5 | -8.4 | 2:1 vs FK Panevezys (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.2) |
9 | Dziugas Telsiai | 36 | 27 | 34.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.7 | -4.1 | 2:1 vs Suduva (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.5) |
10 | Jonava | 36 | 3 | 11.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.6 | -2.9 | 1:1 vs FK Panevezys (+0.8) | 0:5 vs Banga (-0.9) |
