League Twohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Harrogate | 46 | 63 | 48.9 | +14.1Outperforming ++ | 24 | +2.5 | +11.6 | 0:1 vs MK Dons (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Forest Green (-1.4) |
2 | Crawley | 46 | 70 | 56.4 | +13.6Outperforming ++ | 16 | +3.2 | +10.4 | 1:4 vs Mansfield (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Salford (-1.8) |
3 | Doncaster | 46 | 71 | 57.8 | +13.2Outperforming ++ | 15 | +11.5 | +1.7 | 1:0 vs Wrexham (+1.9) | 0:5 vs Morecambe (-1.7) |
4 | Crewe | 46 | 71 | 58.8 | +12.2Outperforming ++ | 14 | +4.4 | +7.8 | 0:1 vs Mansfield (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Forest Green (-1.9) |
5 | Morecambe | 46 | 61 | 51.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 23 | +1.8 | +8.2 | 1:2 vs MK Dons (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Forest Green (-1.6) |
6 | MK Dons | 46 | 78 | 70.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.5 | -0.4 | 3:5 vs Wrexham (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Morecambe (-2.1) |
7 | Stockport County | 46 | 92 | 85.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.0 | +3.3 | 5:0 vs Wrexham (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Crewe (-2.1) |
8 | Wrexham | 46 | 88 | 82.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.3 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs Notts Co (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Tranmere (-2.0) |
9 | Barrow | 46 | 69 | 65.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 8 | +3.3 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs Bradford City (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Forest Green (-2.0) |
10 | Walsall | 46 | 65 | 62.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 10 | +6.6 | -4.0 | 1:2 vs Notts Co (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Harrogate (-1.8) |
11 | Mansfield | 46 | 86 | 84.1 | +1.9On expectation | 2 | -0.7 | +2.6 | 0:2 vs Stockport County (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Crewe (-2.2) |
12 | Tranmere | 46 | 57 | 55.7 | +1.3On expectation | 19 | +7.7 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs Wrexham (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Morecambe (-1.7) |
13 | Accrington | 46 | 57 | 56.1 | +0.9On expectation | 17 | +2.2 | -1.3 | 2:4 vs AFC Wimbledon (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Colchester (-1.7) |
14 | Newport | 46 | 55 | 54.7 | +0.3On expectation | 20 | +1.2 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs AFC Wimbledon (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Harrogate (-1.7) |
15 | Bradford City | 46 | 69 | 70.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | -4.1 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Wrexham (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Forest Green (-2.0) |
16 | Gillingham | 46 | 64 | 65.7 | -1.7On expectation | 9 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Stockport County (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Colchester (-1.9) |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 65 | 70.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.9 | -4.8 | 0:2 vs Notts Co (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sutton (-2.2) |
18 | Swindon | 46 | 54 | 62.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 11 | +2.3 | -10.5 | 0:2 vs Barrow (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Accrington (-1.8) |
19 | Salford | 46 | 51 | 59.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -10.7 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Crawley (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Accrington (-1.8) |
20 | Grimsby | 46 | 49 | 59.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.7 | -7.9 | 0:3 vs Crewe (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Harrogate (-1.8) |
21 | Colchester | 46 | 45 | 55.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.9 | -3.8 | 0:3 vs Gillingham (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Morecambe (-1.7) |
22 | Forest Green | 46 | 42 | 52.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 22 | -11.0 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Bradford City (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Morecambe (-1.6) |
23 | Sutton | 46 | 42 | 53.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 21 | -7.0 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs AFC Wimbledon (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Forest Green (-1.6) |
24 | Notts Co | 46 | 61 | 72.2 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.7 | -9.5 | 0:3 vs Bradford City (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Sutton (-1.9) |
