Uppsala W vs IF Brommapojkarna W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-09-19 · 15:00 CET
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WWLWLThe score model made an IF Brommapojkarna W win the most likely outcome at 64%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 76%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Uppsala W 1.38 – 2.62 IF Brommapojkarna W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uppsala W win | 19.1% | 4.7% | +14.4% | ✗ |
| Draw | 16.4% | 11.3% | +5.1% | ✗ |
| IF Brommapojkarna W win | 64.5% | 84.0% | -19.5% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.2% | 68.1% | +8.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.6% | 49.5% | +7.2% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 68.9% | 39.5% | +29.3% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 84.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 52.5% | 48.4% | +4.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Uppsala W 18.1 / IF Brommapojkarna W 36.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Uppsala W vs IF Brommapojkarna W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.