Eskilstuna Utd W vs Hacken W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-09-19 · 15:00 CET
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WWWWWThe score model made a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 71%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). It finished 0:3 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Eskilstuna Utd W 0.57 – 1.93 Hacken W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskilstuna Utd W win | 10.8% | 7.9% | +2.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 18.6% | 15.1% | +3.4% | ✗ |
| Hacken W win | 70.6% | 77.0% | -6.4% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.6% | 60.4% | -14.9% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.2% | 40.3% | -16.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 36.4% | 44.2% | -7.9% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.6% | 42.2% | -8.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Eskilstuna Utd W 15.7 / Hacken W 36.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Eskilstuna Utd W vs Hacken W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.