Vittsjo W vs Rosengard W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-03 · 19:00 CET
WDLWL
LDLWWThe score model made a Rosengard W win the most likely outcome at 48%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 52%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Vittsjo W 1.16 – 1.58 Rosengard W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vittsjo W win | 28.7% | 32.2% | -3.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.6% | 26.9% | -3.4% | ✓ |
| Rosengard W win | 47.7% | 40.8% | +6.9% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.5% | 56.1% | -4.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.4% | 35.5% | -6.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% | 59.2% | -5.5% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.6% | 38.3% | -7.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Vittsjo W 33.6 / Rosengard W 32.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.