Kristianstad W vs AIK W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-01 · 15:00 CET
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WLLLDThe score model made a Kristianstad W win the most likely outcome at 53%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 67%). It finished 3:0 (HT 3:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kristianstad W 2.06 – 1.41 AIK W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristianstad W win | 53.0% | 42.2% | +10.8% | ✓ |
| Draw | 20.2% | 26.3% | -6.1% | ✗ |
| AIK W win | 26.8% | 31.5% | -4.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.3% | 57.4% | +9.9% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.7% | 37.2% | +8.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 65.4% | 60.4% | +5.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 83.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 49.4% | 40.1% | +9.3% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Kristianstad W 32.7 / AIK W 29.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.