IF Brommapojkarna W vs Djurgarden W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-01 · 14:00 CET
LDDWW
WWDWLThe score model made a Djurgarden W win the most likely outcome at 40%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 64%). It finished 2:1 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna W 1.63 – 1.69 Djurgarden W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Brommapojkarna W win | 37.8% | 39.5% | -1.7% | ✓ |
| Draw | 21.8% | 26.5% | -4.7% | ✗ |
| Djurgarden W win | 40.5% | 34.1% | +6.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.4% | 56.0% | +8.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% | 35.5% | +6.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% | 59.7% | +5.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.0% | 38.4% | -2.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: IF Brommapojkarna W 32.7 / Djurgarden W 32.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.