IF Brommapojkarna W vs Djurgarden W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-01 · 12:00
The score model makes an Djurgarden W win the most likely outcome at 41%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 64%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna W 1.62 – 1.69 Djurgarden W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Brommapojkarna W win | 37.8% | 37.0% | +0.8% |
| Draw | 21.6% | 26.2% | -4.6% |
| Djurgarden W win | 40.6% | 36.8% | +3.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% | 55.9% | +8.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.1% | 35.3% | +6.8% |
| Both teams to score | 64.6% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.9% | 38.0% | -2.1% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: IF Brommapojkarna W 32.8 / Djurgarden W 32.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.