Granada CF vs Andorra
La Liga2, Spain · 2026-09-26 · 16:15 CET
LWWWW
WDWLLThe score model made a Granada CF win the most likely outcome at 48%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 53%). It finished 2:3 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Granada CF 1.63 – 1.18 Andorra.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF win | 47.6% | 42.9% | +4.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.9% | 28.6% | -3.7% | ✗ |
| Andorra win | 27.6% | 28.6% | -1.0% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% | 47.0% | +6.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.0% | 26.7% | +4.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% | 52.7% | +3.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.6% | 32.9% | +0.6% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Granada CF 48.5 / Andorra 42.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Granada CF vs Andorra in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.