Otelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Liga 1, Romania · 2026-07-31 · 20:30 CET
LDWDL
WWWDWThe score model made an Otelul win the most likely outcome at 37%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 38%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Otelul 1.15 – 1.08 Dinamo Bucuresti.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otelul win | 37.1% | 26.9% | +10.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.3% | 29.1% | +0.2% | ✓ |
| Dinamo Bucuresti win | 33.6% | 44.0% | -10.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.5% | 42.3% | -3.9% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.6% | 22.6% | -4.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 45.3% | 48.8% | -3.5% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 63.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.9% | 29.7% | -0.8% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Otelul 42.6 / Dinamo Bucuresti 31.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.