COD Meknes vs FAR Rabat
Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-11-01 · 19:00 CET
WLDWW
LDWDWThe score model makes an FAR Rabat win the most likely outcome at 56%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Over 2.5 goals — 49.4% vs 41.8% implied (+7.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: COD Meknes 0.91 – 1.74 FAR Rabat.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| COD Meknes win | 17.8% | 20.5% | -2.7% |
| Draw | 26.6% | 28.2% | -1.6% |
| FAR Rabat win | 55.6% | 51.4% | +4.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% | 41.8% | +7.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.5% | 22.8% | +4.8% |
| Both teams to score | 50.7% | 45.3% | +5.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.1% | 29.9% | +2.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: COD Meknes 33.4 / FAR Rabat 37.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open COD Meknes vs FAR Rabat in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.