Union Berlin W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-09-07 · 18:00 CET
LLLLL
LWWDWThe score model made an Eintracht Frankfurt W win the most likely outcome at 63%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 77%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Union Berlin W 1.41 – 2.63 Eintracht Frankfurt W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin W win | 18.6% | 24.3% | -5.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 18.2% | 23.9% | -5.7% | ✗ |
| Eintracht Frankfurt W win | 63.2% | 51.8% | +11.4% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.9% | 62.3% | +14.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.6% | 42.0% | +15.5% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 70.6% | 61.5% | +9.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 87.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 56.6% | 43.1% | +13.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Union Berlin W 18.3 / Eintracht Frankfurt W 30.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.