Cambridge Utd vs Huddersfield
League One, England · 2026-08-29 · 16:00 CET
LWDLW
WWDWWThe score model made a Huddersfield win the most likely outcome at 46%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). It finished 1:2 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Cambridge Utd 1.16 – 1.52 Huddersfield.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge Utd win | 29.0% | 33.5% | -4.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.1% | 27.9% | -2.8% | ✗ |
| Huddersfield win | 45.9% | 38.6% | +7.3% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 53.7% | -3.6% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% | 33.3% | -5.2% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% | 58.2% | -4.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.1% | 36.3% | -5.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Cambridge Utd 27.2 / Huddersfield 45.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.