Ykkosliiga 2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	KTP	21	43	33.9	+9.1Outperforming ++	3	+9.9	-0.8	1:3 vs TPS (+2.1)	2:1 vs JaPS (-1.9)
2	JaPS	21	30	22.8	+7.2Outperforming ++	9	+4.6	+2.7	0:3 vs Ekenas (+2.2)	0:1 vs PEPO (-1.8)
3	TPS	21	45	39.6	+5.4Outperforming ++	1	+0.6	+4.8	1:2 vs Jaro (+1.8)	0:2 vs PIF Pargas (-2.4)
4	KPV Kokkola	21	31	27.7	+3.3Outperforming	7	+1.8	+1.5	0:3 vs Ekenas (+1.9)	0:2 vs Gnistan (-1.7)
5	35-PEPO	1	3	0.8	+2.2Outperforming	23	0.0	+2.2	1:2 vs PK (+2.2)	1:2 vs PK (2.2)
6	35-Jaro	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	16	0.0	+1.6	0:4 vs PK (+1.6)	0:4 vs PK (1.6)
7	35-KTP	1	3	1.5	+1.5On expectation	15	0.0	+1.5	0:1 vs PK (+1.5)	0:1 vs PK (1.5)
8	35-PIF Pargas	1	1	0.6	+0.4On expectation	24	0.0	+0.4	2:2 vs PK (+0.4)	2:2 vs PK (0.4)
9	35-JaPS	1	1	1.0	+0.0On expectation	22	0.0	+0.0	2:2 vs PK (+0.0)	2:2 vs PK (0.0)
10	35-KPV Kokkola	1	1	1.1	-0.1On expectation	20	0.0	-0.1	1:1 vs PK (+-0.1)	1:1 vs PK (-0.1)
11	35-Gnistan	1	1	1.2	-0.2On expectation	17	0.0	-0.2	2:2 vs PK (+-0.2)	2:2 vs PK (-0.2)
12	Ekenas	21	32	32.3	-0.3On expectation	4	+0.7	-0.9	0:3 vs SJK Akatemia (+1.7)	0:3 vs JaPS (-2.0)
13	Gnistan	21	29	29.4	-0.4On expectation	5	-0.9	+0.4	0:2 vs Jaro (+1.9)	1:0 vs PIF Pargas (-1.7)
14	35-SJK Akatemia	1	0	1.1	-1.1On expectation	21	0.0	-1.1	2:0 vs PK (+-1.1)	2:0 vs PK (-1.1)
15	Mikkeli	21	27	28.2	-1.2On expectation	6	+0.6	-1.8	0:2 vs Gnistan (+1.9)	2:3 vs PIF Pargas (-2.0)
16	35-Mikkeli	1	0	1.2	-1.2On expectation	19	0.0	-1.2	2:0 vs PK (+-1.2)	2:0 vs PK (-1.2)
17	35-Ekenas	1	0	1.2	-1.2On expectation	18	0.0	-1.2	3:1 vs PK (+-1.2)	3:1 vs PK (-1.2)
18	PK	11	16	17.5	-1.5On expectation	12	-1.5	0.0	2:1 vs 35-TPS (+1.8)	1:2 vs 35-PEPO (-1.9)
19	35-TPS	1	0	1.6	-1.6On expectation	14	0.0	-1.6	2:1 vs PK (+-1.6)	2:1 vs PK (-1.6)
20	PEPO	21	21	22.7	-1.7On expectation	10	-0.7	-1.1	0:1 vs JaPS (+2.0)	2:4 vs JaPS (-1.5)
21	SJK Akatemia	21	25	26.8	-1.8On expectation	8	-1.0	-0.7	0:3 vs KPV Kokkola (+1.8)	3:4 vs JaPS (-1.6)
22	Jaro	21	32	36.1	-4.1Underperforming	2	+0.4	-4.5	1:3 vs SJK Akatemia (+1.5)	0:2 vs Gnistan (-1.7)
23	PIF Pargas	21	12	19.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	11	-5.6	-1.5	0:2 vs TPS (+2.6)	0:1 vs JaPS (-1.4)
24	PK-35	11	6	14.0	-8.0Underperforming −−	13	0.0	-8.0	1:2 vs Mikkeli (+1.6)	3:2 vs PIF Pargas (-1.8)