Ykkosliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KTP | 22 | 47 | 38.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | -3.5 | +12.4 | 2:3 vs Jaro (+1.9) | 1:4 vs AC Kajaani (-2.4) |
2 | AC Oulu | 22 | 50 | 41.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.5 | +7.6 | 1:2 vs KTP (+1.8) | 1:2 vs KPV Kokkola (-1.8) |
3 | MuSa | 22 | 34 | 27.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.5 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs KPV Kokkola (+2.5) | 0:2 vs VPS (-1.4) |
4 | Mikkeli | 22 | 29 | 25.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 10 | +0.1 | +3.4 | 2:3 vs KTP (+2.2) | 1:0 vs SJK Akatemia (-1.6) |
5 | VPS | 22 | 33 | 30.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 7 | -1.1 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs KPV Kokkola (+2.1) | 3:5 vs Gnistan (-1.5) |
6 | Jaro | 22 | 41 | 39.4 | +1.6On expectation | 2 | +1.6 | +0.1 | 0:4 vs KPV Kokkola (+2.0) | 3:1 vs MuSa (-2.1) |
7 | Ekenas | 22 | 36 | 35.5 | +0.5On expectation | 5 | +2.8 | -2.3 | 0:2 vs AC Kajaani (+1.7) | 0:1 vs KTP (-1.6) |
8 | Gnistan | 22 | 25 | 26.4 | -1.4On expectation | 9 | +0.8 | -2.2 | 3:5 vs VPS (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Mikkeli (-1.4) |
9 | SJK Akatemia | 22 | 15 | 18.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 11 | +0.5 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs AC Kajaani (+2.5) | 4:2 vs MyPa (-1.3) |
10 | AC Kajaani | 22 | 23 | 30.1 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -7.4 | +0.2 | 1:4 vs KTP (+2.5) | 0:1 vs SJK Akatemia (-2.4) |
11 | MyPa | 22 | 6 | 14.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.5 | -6.0 | 4:2 vs SJK Akatemia (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Mikkeli (-1.1) |
12 | KPV Kokkola | 22 | 28 | 39.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -8.4 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs AC Oulu (+2.1) | 0:1 vs MuSa (-2.4) |
