Chance Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hradec Kralove | 35 | 56 | 45.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.2 | +3.3 | 2:1 vs Slavia Prague (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Karvina (-2.0) |
2 | FK Pardubice | 31 | 44 | 35.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 15 | +1.5 | +9.2 | 2:4 vs Sparta Prague (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Jablonec (-1.4) |
3 | Sparta Prague | 35 | 76 | 68.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.5 | +3.1 | 0:3 vs Slavia Prague (+2.2) | 2:4 vs FK Pardubice (-2.5) |
4 | Jablonec | 35 | 55 | 48.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.1 | +4.0 | 0:2 vs Liberec (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Zlin (-1.9) |
5 | Slavia Prague | 35 | 80 | 75.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.6 | +1.4 | 3:0 vs Plzen (+1.5) | 0:3 vs Sparta Prague (-2.0) |
6 | Sigma Olomouc | 33 | 52 | 48.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 7 | +5.0 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Bohemians (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.8) |
7 | Zlin | 35 | 41 | 38.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 14 | +2.0 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Plzen (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Bohemians (-1.4) |
8 | Teplice | 35 | 42 | 39.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 13 | -1.6 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Bohemians (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Zlin (-1.7) |
9 | Taborsko | 2 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 18 | -0.9 | -0.5 | 3:0 vs Ostrava (+-0.4) | 0:5 vs Ostrava (-0.9) |
10 | Mlada Boleslav | 35 | 40 | 41.5 | -1.5On expectation | 9 | -6.0 | +4.5 | 2:4 vs Sigma Olomouc (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Teplice (-1.8) |
11 | Karvina | 33 | 39 | 40.7 | -1.7On expectation | 11 | -6.5 | +6.0 | 1:2 vs Hradec Kralove (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Zlin (-1.8) |
12 | Artis Brno | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8On expectation | 17 | -1.1 | -0.7 | 3:0 vs Slovacko (+-0.7) | 1:4 vs Slovacko (-1.2) |
13 | Plzen | 35 | 63 | 66.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 3 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Zlin (-2.3) |
14 | Liberec | 35 | 46 | 49.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 5 | -1.1 | -2.5 | 0:2 vs Ostrava (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Hradec Kralove (-1.8) |
15 | Bohemians | 31 | 36 | 40.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 12 | -5.3 | +1.6 | 2:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Teplice (-1.9) |
16 | Slovacko | 37 | 36 | 41.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.0 | -3.4 | 3:0 vs Plzen (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.7) |
17 | Dukla Prague | 35 | 26 | 34.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.1 | -3.1 | 2:0 vs Plzen (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.6) |
18 | Ostrava | 37 | 35 | 53.5 | -18.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -8.5 | -9.9 | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (+1.6) | 1:4 vs FK Pardubice (-1.8) |
