Chance Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ostrava | 30 | 64 | 51.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +7.6 | +5.4 | 1:3 vs Sparta Prague (+2.3) | 3:1 vs Jablonec (-1.4) |
2 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 78 | 69.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.7 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Plzen (+1.3) | 1:0 vs Teplice (-2.2) |
3 | Plzen | 30 | 65 | 57.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.0 | +4.4 | 2:4 vs Sparta Prague (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Slovacko (-1.8) |
4 | Jablonec | 30 | 51 | 43.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.0 | +2.2 | 0:5 vs Liberec (+1.9) | 2:0 vs FK Pardubice (-2.0) |
5 | Karvina | 30 | 41 | 34.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +1.2 | +5.0 | 2:3 vs Liberec (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bohemians (-1.4) |
6 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 43 | 38.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 9 | -0.1 | +4.9 | 2:3 vs Sparta Prague (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Bohemians (-1.8) |
7 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 62 | 61.5 | +0.5On expectation | 2 | -1.5 | +2.0 | 2:0 vs Slavia Prague (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Sigma Olomouc (-2.5) |
8 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 40 | 40.1 | -0.1On expectation | 7 | +0.3 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.9) | 2:1 vs FK Pardubice (-1.6) |
9 | Liberec | 30 | 42 | 42.6 | -0.6On expectation | 6 | -1.9 | +1.3 | 1:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Karvina (-2.0) |
10 | Teplice | 30 | 34 | 36.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 11 | +0.9 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs Slavia Prague (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Karvina (-1.7) |
11 | Dukla Prague | 30 | 24 | 27.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -3.5 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Mlada Boleslav (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Slovacko (-1.3) |
12 | Bohemians | 30 | 34 | 37.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 10 | -7.0 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Jablonec (+2.1) | 2:0 vs FK Pardubice (-1.6) |
13 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 34 | 39.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.1 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Teplice (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Dukla Prague (-1.9) |
14 | Slovacko | 30 | 30 | 35.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.4 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Plzen (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Teplice (-1.6) |
15 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 19 | 25.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.5 | -3.6 | 2:0 vs Jablonec (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Karvina (-1.4) |
16 | Ceske Budejovice | 30 | 5 | 22.3 | -17.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.2 | -7.0 | 0:0 vs FK Pardubice (+0.2) | 1:3 vs FK Pardubice (-1.8) |
