Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-09-01 · 18:20 CET
WWLDD
DLWDDThe score model made an Al Orubah win the most likely outcome at 44%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 38%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Al Orubah 1.28 – 0.92 Al Zulfi.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Orubah win | 44.3% | 40.7% | +3.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.7% | 28.7% | +1.0% | ✓ |
| Al Zulfi win | 26.0% | 30.6% | -4.6% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.8% | 44.4% | -6.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.1% | 25.5% | -7.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 44.0% | 50.5% | -6.5% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 60.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 24.0% | 31.5% | -7.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Al Orubah 32.5 / Al Zulfi 35.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.