Fiorentina U20 vs Empoli U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-13 · 13:00 CET
WLDLD
LWWDDThe score model makes a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely outcome at 62%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 62%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Fiorentina U20 2.15 – 1.07 Empoli U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina U20 win | 61.7% | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | — | — |
| Empoli U20 win | 17.5% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 58.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.0% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Fiorentina U20 39.2 / Empoli U20 15.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.