Sassuolo U20 vs Bologna U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-12 · 15:00 CET
LWLWD
LLWWLThe score model made a Bologna U20 win the most likely outcome at 37%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). It finished 5:3 — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Sassuolo U20 1.33 – 1.37 Bologna U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo U20 win | 35.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 26.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Bologna U20 win | 37.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.8% | — | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.5% | — | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Sassuolo U20 38.8 / Bologna U20 39.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Sassuolo U20 vs Bologna U20 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.