Cesena U20 vs Lazio U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-12 · 15:00 CET
DLDWL
LWDLDThe score model made a Cesena U20 win the most likely outcome at 49%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). It finished 0:1 — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Cesena U20 1.76 – 1.24 Lazio U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena U20 win | 49.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Lazio U20 win | 26.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.7% | — | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.4% | — | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Cesena U20 39.7 / Lazio U20 38.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Cesena U20 vs Lazio U20 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.