AC Milan U20 vs Juventus U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-06 · 11:00 CET
DLDWD
DWWDDThe score model made an AC Milan U20 win the most likely outcome at 42%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 52%). It finished 2:0 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: AC Milan U20 1.49 – 1.26 Juventus U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan U20 win | 41.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 26.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Juventus U20 win | 31.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.0% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.1% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: AC Milan U20 38.3 / Juventus U20 38.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.