Werder Bremen II vs Schoningen
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-12 · 14:00 CET
WWLDL
LDLLLThe score model made a Werder Bremen II win the most likely outcome at 50%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 75%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Werder Bremen II 2.26 – 1.69 Schoningen.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen II win | 50.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 20.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Schoningen win | 28.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 73.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.4% | — | — | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Werder Bremen II 41.2 / Schoningen 27.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Werder Bremen II vs Schoningen in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.