Bremer vs Schoningen
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-08-30 · 15:00 CET
LWLLL
WWLDLThe score model made a Bremer win the most likely outcome at 52%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 65%). It finished 2:2 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bremer 2.00 – 1.36 Schoningen.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bremer win | 51.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 22.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Schoningen win | 25.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.5% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bremer 44.6 / Schoningen 26.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.