VfB Oldenburg vs Norderstedt
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-08-15 · 18:00 CET
DWWWD
DLDDWThe score model makes a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely outcome at 68%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 74%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: VfB Oldenburg 2.65 – 1.19 Norderstedt.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg win | 67.9% | — | — |
| Draw | 17.7% | — | — |
| Norderstedt win | 14.4% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 65.3% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.9% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: VfB Oldenburg 41.7 / Norderstedt 43.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.