Jihlava vs Taborsko
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-21 · 18:00 CET
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WLDDLThe score model made a Taborsko win the most likely outcome at 39%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 40%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jihlava 1.08 – 1.21 Taborsko.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihlava win | 32.8% | 40.3% | -7.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.9% | 27.9% | -0.0% | ✗ |
| Taborsko win | 39.3% | 31.7% | +7.6% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 51.1% | -11.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.8% | 30.7% | -10.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 46.0% | 56.3% | -10.3% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.8% | 35.3% | -1.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jihlava 39.9 / Taborsko 39.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.