Benatky n. Jiz. vs Brozany
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-30 · 17:00 CET
DWLDD
DWDLDThe score model made a Benatky n. Jiz. win the most likely outcome at 49%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 54%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Benatky n. Jiz. 1.68 – 1.16 Brozany.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benatky n. Jiz. win | 49.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Brozany win | 26.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.1% | — | — | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Benatky n. Jiz. 33.5 / Brozany 40.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.