Bohemians 1905 B vs Admira Prague
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-30 · 10:15 CET
LLWDD
LDWLDThe score model made a Bohemians 1905 B win the most likely outcome at 49%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 64%). It finished 3:1 (HT 2:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bohemians 1905 B 1.91 – 1.41 Admira Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 B win | 49.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 22.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| Admira Prague win | 28.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 64.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 47.7% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bohemians 1905 B 41 / Admira Prague 41 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.