SK Rapid II vs Floridsdorfer AC
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-08-22 · 15:30 CET
WWWLW
WLWLDThe score model makes an Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely outcome at 48%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 75.5% vs 63.6% implied (+11.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SK Rapid II 1.02 – 1.50 Floridsdorfer AC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Rapid II win | 25.5% | 33.7% | -8.2% |
| Draw | 26.4% | 26.1% | +0.4% |
| Floridsdorfer AC win | 48.1% | 40.2% | +7.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.0% | 57.4% | -11.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% | 36.4% | -11.8% |
| Both teams to score | 49.8% | 60.5% | -10.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.6% | 39.0% | -8.3% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: SK Rapid II 33.4 / Floridsdorfer AC 37.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.