SK Rapid II vs Floridsdorfer AC
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-08-22 · 15:30 CET
WLLLL
DWWLWThe score model made a Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely outcome at 48%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SK Rapid II 1.02 – 1.50 Floridsdorfer AC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Rapid II win | 25.6% | 38.3% | -12.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.2% | 26.1% | +0.1% | ✗ |
| Floridsdorfer AC win | 48.2% | 35.6% | +12.6% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.1% | 57.5% | -11.4% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.7% | 36.7% | -12.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 49.8% | 60.7% | -10.9% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.9% | 39.4% | -8.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: SK Rapid II 33.3 / Floridsdorfer AC 37.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.